I winced, but went bravely on. "First let us examine the fallacy called Dicto Simpliciter."
我有点迟疑,但还是坚定地讲下:“,咱们研究一个叫‘过简化’谬论。”
The fallacy has been exposed in its naked absurdity.
这谬论荒诞性已被露。
Such fallacies are not easily perceived.
识别这种谬论并非易事。
They are delighted that they have exploded such a fallacy.
把这样一个谬论推翻,他们感到高兴。
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This quirk is called the sunk cost fallacy.
这种怪癖被称为“沉没成本谬误”。
That’s Dr Catherine Loveday. So what’s a fallacy, Alice?
上述是凯瑟琳·洛芙迪博士教授观点。那什么是谬误呢?
There also exist a there versus here fallacy.
这里也存在着“那里 vs 这里”谬论。
The key is something called the base rate fallacy.
关键在于所谓基本率谬误。
And then there's also this fallacy of correlation that our brain assumes is causation.
还有一种相互关联谬误,我们大脑认为这就是因果关系。
Now, first I thought this was a pathetic fallacy where the weather reflects the mood.
首先,我认为这是一个可悲谬论,认为天气反映情绪。
It also reveals the idea that shale oil might guarantee energy security to be a fallacy.
这也揭示了页岩油可能保障国家能源观点是一种谬论。
Hot hand fallacy is the concept of streaks.
热手谬误是关于手气概念。
This is a phenomenon known as the conjunction fallacy.
这个现象就是所谓 合取谬误(交集偏误)。
The conjunction fallacy isn't just a problem in hypothetical situations.
合取谬误不是一个仅存在于假设情况下问题。
Listen to those answers to expose the fallacy of their argument, so that you can address that underlying fear.
听那些答案,揭露他们论点谬误,这样你就能消除潜在恐惧。
Look out for common psychological errors like anchoring or the sunk cost fallacy.
注意常见心理错误,比如锚定或沉没成本谬误。
The conjunction fallacy isn’t just a problem in hypothetical situations.
合取谬误并不只是在 假设情境中才会发生问题。
The challenge here is that it's easy to be seduced into the baseline fallacy.
但这很容易会导致基线谬误。
The " sunk-cost fallacy" means that managers find it hard to abandon projects that have already soaked up money.
“沉没成本谬论”意味着经理很难放弃已经用掉了很多资金项目。
Researchers also say that negotiators have an assumption, which is a fallacy, that emotional expressiveness goes hand in hand with confrontation.
研究人员还说,谈判者有一个假设,这是一个谬论,即情感表达与对抗是齐头并进。
Economists call this The sunk cost fallacy.
经济学家称之为沉没成本谬误。
One is called the sunk cost fallacy.
一种称为沉没成本谬误。
The baseline fallacy is the idea that it's the current business model which is the low-risk bet.
基线谬误就是会让你觉得,目前商业模型风险是最低。
That is exactly how we cure the planning fallacy.
这正是我们纠正计划谬误方法。
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